Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.756036e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000089
2025-02-09 2.901734e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000088 0.000107
2025-02-16 2.533171e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000062 0.000081 0.000102 0.000129
2025-02-23 2.095215e-05 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000084 0.000111 0.000144
2025-03-02 1.649769e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000059 0.000084 0.000114 0.000153
2025-03-09 1.343069e-05 0.000023 0.000037 0.000057 0.000084 0.000118 0.000163
2025-03-16 1.109912e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000056 0.000085 0.000123 0.000173
2025-03-23 9.378436e-06 0.000019 0.000033 0.000055 0.000087 0.000128 0.000185
2025-03-30 7.856374e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000054 0.000088 0.000132 0.000195
2025-04-06 6.365004e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000053 0.000087 0.000134 0.000202
2025-04-13 4.871844e-06 0.000013 0.000026 0.000049 0.000084 0.000133 0.000204
2025-04-20 3.894165e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047 0.000084 0.000135 0.000210
2025-04-27 3.399286e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000049 0.000088 0.000145 0.000230
2025-05-04 2.747969e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000091 0.000152 0.000244
2025-05-11 2.568277e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000098 0.000167 0.000271
2025-05-18 2.071768e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000052 0.000100 0.000174 0.000286
2025-05-25 1.474531e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000049 0.000098 0.000174 0.000292
2025-06-01 1.086150e-06 0.000006 0.000019 0.000047 0.000098 0.000177 0.000302
2025-06-08 8.042876e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000046 0.000098 0.000181 0.000313
2025-06-15 6.099223e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000046 0.000100 0.000186 0.000326
2025-06-22 4.454869e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000045 0.000100 0.000191 0.000337
2025-06-29 2.955712e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000043 0.000099 0.000192 0.000345
2025-07-06 1.656050e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000040 0.000096 0.000190 0.000346